EMSS 2010 Proceeding

System dynamics use for technologies assessment

Authors:   Zane Barkane, Hugues Vincent, Egils Ginters

Abstract

Elaboration and introduction of a new technology is a complex and expensive task therefore it is necessary to assess the set of factors influencing the future of technology during the stages of technology emergence and development. The most important parameters of assessment are acceptance and sustainability of technology. Different models exist, but mostly they are static and do not offer possibilities for dynamic assessment in real time and do not forecast the sustainability of solution. In the framework of FP7-ICT- 2009-5 CHOREOS project No. 257178 a new two step methodology, Integrated Acceptance and Sustainability Assessment Model (IASAM), of socio-technical assessment has been elaborated. This model will use system dynamic simulation in STELLA environment and will take into account technical, social and financial factors, and existence of concurrent technologies for sustainability assessment.

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